The Lindy Effect, jobs of the future, and what to teach | Gary Davies

If you were born in ancient Rome, you could expect to live 21 years on average. If you made it to your 5th birthday, you could expect to live 42 years on average. How is this possible? Surely, you are 5 years closer to your 21st birthday and therefore should only have another 16 years to live on average? Your five years of ageing have actually increased your life expectancy, and you’re now further away from death than you were at the instant you were born. It’s almost as if we’re ageing in reverse.

Life expectancy increased because – by reaching the grand old age of 5 – we escaped many of…

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